<VV> Corona Virus

[Hugo Miller]

In England we are encouraged to panic, and practically the entire 
economy has been shut down. As usual these days, everybody is reacting 
with hysteria rather than reason. I prefer to look at the numbers; on 
the British government's own prediction, one person in a hundred will 
actually catch this thing, and one in three thousand head of population 
are actually going to die from it. And that is not a random mortality 
rate - it will be those whose health is already compromised who will 
die.
You are three thousand times more likely to die of something other than 
Corona-virus.
In order to propagate itself, this glorified flu bug has to find its 
way from the lungs of an infected person or a carrier into the lungs of 
its next victim. That is not a particularly easy task for the virus, and 
with some elementary precautions we can make it damn near impossible.
My bigger concern is what happens next time? We seem to have seen an 
unusually large number of nasty bugs in the last few years, and with 
increased global travel these things spread much further and faster than 
they would have done not so many years ago. This virus will eventually 
disappear. But what happens if it comes back, as the Black Death did, 
several times? Or if something similar comes along? We can't keep 
shutting the entire economy down every time. I wouldn't be surprised if 
the death toll from suicide, together with widespread business collapses 
and bankruptcies, divorces etc, turns out to be worse than the disease 
these measures are supposed to save us from.

On 2020-03-31 21:56, Arlette Pat & Carl Kelsen via VirtualVairs wrote:
> G’day everyone,
> Today, with some regret, I cancelled our Qantas International air
> tickets for flights which we have paid for, and which would have 
> taken
> my wife and I from Australia to the USA in June / July this year.
>
> During this trip we would have of course attended this years Corsa
> Convention in San Diego and very much looked forward to catching up
> with fellow Corvair owners. Later today, I will cancel my San Diego
> hotel booking.
>
> Australia’s Qantas Airways will over the next two days operate its
> final scheduled flights to the USA and Canada. Qantas now considers
> the risk now far to great to continue operating scheduled flights to
> the USA.
>
> I like the rest of world watches with REAL concern, as the number of
> confirmed case of this virus continues to rise in the USA and we
> wonder why your President Donald Trump firstly refused to acknowledge
> how serious the spread of this virus is and why he constantly wants 
> to
> think it’s under control.
>
> Many of us wonder how long it will be before this virus is
> ‘controlled’. On the basis of what I have read, I think its likely to
> be at best 6 months and it could well be two years before there is 
> any
> meaningful improvement.
>
> Australia, by world standards has only a few cases and while its to
> early to be certain, present indications suggest that we might be
> winning the battle with this virus. Our boarders are sealed. Qantas
> has cancelled its international services until May 31 and is expected
> to cancel all its international flights through to July 31.
>
> So, my wife and I will, for the first time in 3 years be spending
> winter home in Australia.
>
> I sincerely believe that this years San Diego Corsa Convention HAS to
> be cancelled TODAY. To even consider running this convention is at
> best ‘foolish’ but certainly dangerous!
>
> In my view best outcome would be to simply move all the good planning
> to 2021. If this was done, then my wife and I would immediately book
> Qantas flights for 2021 and start to plan around this.
>
> CORSA its time to ‘PULL THE PLUG’.
>
> To my many valued American friends. PLEASE keep away from crowded
> places and keep safe as your country is sadly now the center of this
> worldwide virus
> Thinking of all you.
> Carl Kelsen
> RHD 1965 Monza convertible
> Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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